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Les droits d’entrée sur l’acier et les métaux importés pénalisent certains segments et les grandes industries acheteuses ne vont pas tarder à être affectées par la hausse des prix.
Southeast Asia is facing headwinds in the face of the US-China trade war and increased global market volatility, but strong domestic policymaking and economic fundamentals should mitigate risks.
Despite ongoing growth, there are challenges ahead, as profit margins of businesses decreased in 2017 and H1 of 2018 due to sharply increased input costs.
Many producers are under pressure to either expand/grow or refuse orders, while difficulties in hiring skilled staff impacts further business expansion.
As in previous years, competition remains strong in the domestic market, mainly among small and medium-sized machinery companies depending on construction.
A modest insolvency increase is expected in 2019, with businesses related to oil and gas exploration, construction and agricultural markets mainly exposed.
Business performance and profit margins of machinery traders could be negatively affected by the ongoing trade dispute between China and the United States.
The bright outlook presented in May has proven true but clouds are quickly gathering on the horizon. In an increasingly uncertain environment, there is no room for policy mistakes.
All survey respondents in Austria (100%) reported domestic payment delays. This is the highest percentage in the region, significantly higher than in 2017.
The average proportion of overdue B2B invoices reported by respondents in Belgium increased for the third consecutive year in a row and stands at 45.6%.
After an increase from 43.5% in 2017 to 47.5% this year, France has the second highest percentage of overdue B2B invoices in the Western European region.
Of the Western European countries surveyed, Germany had the second highest percentage of respondents (24.7%) who reported revenue loss due to overdues.
At 48.7%, Great Britain had the highest proportion of past due B2B invoices in Western Europe, significantly higher than the regional average of 41.8%.
Most respondents in Spain have felt the impact of overdue invoices; 22.4% had to postpone payments to their own suppliers and 20.3% reported revenue loss.
The proportion of past due B2B invoices in Sweden has sharply increased from 26.7% in 2017 to 34.0%. Foreign B2B customers had a much higher default rate.
92.5% of Swiss respondents said that they experienced late payment in 2018. This is one of the highest percentages next to that of Austria and Belgium.
In 2018, the average DSO recorded in the Netherlands is 46 days, an increase of five days compared to 2017. This is the biggest increase in Western Europe.
Les exportations devraient croître de plus de 4% par an en 2018 et 2019, alimentées principalement par les perspectives favorables de l’industrie automobile et la demande au sein de la zone Euro.
Après une croissance de 4,5% en 2017, le PIB tchèque devrait augmenter à un rythme plus lent en 2018 et en 2019, la demande de la zone Euro et la demande domestique diminuant.
En 2017, la croissance économique a augmenté de plus de 4%, avec une accélération de l’investissement public et privé, alors que la consommation privée et les exportations sont restées solides.
Au sein de l’Europe centrale, l’économie polonaise semble la plus sensible aux retombées financières et politiques du vote britannique en faveur de la sortie de l’UE.
Le PIB annuel a recommencé à augmenter en 2017 après deux années de contraction, et cette reprise devrait se maintenir en 2018 et 2019, en s’appuyant principalement sur le rebond des prix du pétrole.
Malgré le resserrement monétaire, l’économie reste vulnérable à la volatilité accrue des devises, en raison notamment des tensions persistantes avec les États-Unis.
Despite a minor decrease in overdue B2B invoices, 45.0% of businesses in Eastern Europe reported having to manage the negative impact of payment delays.
Of the Eastern European countries surveyed, Bulgaria had the highest DSO and 19.8% of respondents expect another slight increase over the coming 12 months.
The percentage of Czech respondents reporting late payment remained largely stable. However, at 89.8% this is one of the highest percentages in the region.
The proportion of past due B2B invoices is the second highest in the region and almost 60% of Polish respondents said that this affected their businesses.
2018 brought many changes in Turkey – more frequent payment delays, increases in the proportion of overdue B2B invoices and DSO, a longer payment duration.
Le segment des véhicules électriques reste prometteur, car le gouvernement maintient ses subventions substantielles en faveur des constructeurs, et les acheteurs bénéficient de politiques d’incitation
Bien que l’imposition d’une taxe douanière dissuasive de 25% sur les véhicules et les pièces importés de l’UE ait été reportée pour l’instant, l’incertitude continue à planer sur le marché.
En moyenne, les délais de paiement dans le secteur automobile britannique sont d’environ 60 jours. Nous prévoyons une hausse des retards de paiement et des faillites dans les 12 prochains mois.
Profitant du dynamisme de la demande domestique et internationale, les constructeurs automobiles français, dont la part de marché en France est de 59%, ont engrangé une hausse de 14% de leurs ventes.
Dans l’ensemble, les constructeurs automobiles allemands et leurs fournisseurs jouissent d’une situation solide en termes de solvabilité et de liquidité.