Publications et études

Carte des risques pays - Q1 2019

Etude économique

  • Algeria,
  • Argentina,
  • General economic

11 sept. 2018

Carte des Risques Pays Atradius Q1 2019

Détectez les opportunités commerciales dans le monde pour développer votre activité.

Accompagnement commercial

Des conseils pour développer vos opportunités commerciales internationales grâce à des études sur les meilleures pratiques à l’export, les processus de credit management et la cartographie des risques pays Atradius.

Les prévisions sectorielles

Consultez une photographie des risques et performances des principaux secteurs d’activité dans plus de 30 pays. Cette analyse s’appuie sur les informations collectées par les arbitres d’Atradius.

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    Country report South Africa 2019

    Rapport pays

    • South Africa
    • General economic

    06 août 2019

    Economic reforms are urgent, especially improving the governance in state-owned enterprises, as large contingent liabilities are of great concern.

    Private debt could amplify costs of the trade war

    Etude économique

    • China,
    • USA
    • General economic

    30 juil. 2019

    Private sector debt developments in the US and China probably won’t trigger an economic crisis but could deepen a downturn, possibly triggered by the bilateral trade war.

    Market Monitor chemicals USA 2019

    Market Monitor

    • USA
    • Chemicals/Pharma

    16 juil. 2019

    Should the Sino-US trade dispute continue or even escalate, US petrochemical businesses would face unfriendly market conditions with falling prices.

    Market Monitor chemicals China 2019

    Market Monitor

    • China
    • Chemicals/Pharma

    16 juil. 2019

    The repercussions of the trade dispute with the US have been limited so far, but several US-export dependent SMEs could fail should the dispute continue.

    Market Monitor chemicals United Kingdom 2019

    Market Monitor

    • United Kingdom
    • Chemicals/Pharma

    16 juil. 2019

    Profitability of businesses is generally high in this sector, but Brexit poses a downside risk for businesses profitability and payment behaviour.

    Market Monitor chemicals Germany 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Germany
    • Chemicals/Pharma

    16 juil. 2019

    Due to the more difficult market environment and decreasing sales, we have recently downgraded the sector performance outlook from “Excellent” to “Good”.

    Market Monitor chemicals Italy 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Italy
    • Chemicals/Pharma

    16 juil. 2019

    Performance is affected by slowdown in demand from automotive, uncertainty about Italian fiscal policy and the trade dispute between the US and China.

    Market Monitor chemicals France 2019

    Market Monitor

    • France
    • Chemicals/Pharma

    16 juil. 2019

    The French plastics packaging segment is negatively impacted by oil price volatility, increased environmental awareness and stricter regulations.

    Market Monitor chemicals Brazil 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Brazil
    • Chemicals/Pharma

    16 juil. 2019

    The Brazilian agrichemicals sector remains very susceptible to sudden changes in climate conditions, market prices and exchange rate fluctuations.

    Market Monitor chemicals Singapore 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Singapore
    • Chemicals/Pharma

    16 juil. 2019

    In the medium- to long-term low-cost competitors from Asia and the Middle East could seriously challenge Singapore's export-oriented chemicals industry.

    Market Monitor chemicals Spain 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Spain
    • Chemicals/Pharma

    16 juil. 2019

    The plastics segment is impacted by environmental awareness and stricter regulations, which could negatively affect businesses in the near future.

    EU moving forward with free trade deals

    Etude économique

    • Argentina,
    • Austria,
    • General economic

    09 juil. 2019

    The EU continues to buck the international protectionist trend, signing two historic trade agreements.

    Mexico: weaker growth, stronger credit risk perception

    Baromètre des Pratiques de Paiement

    • Mexico
    • Agriculture,
    • Consumer Durables,

    25 juin 2019

    Although Mexico is well-positioned to withstand shocks, as its external finances remain strong, the country’s economic outlook is weakening.

    The US: signs of heightening trade credit risk?

    Baromètre des Pratiques de Paiement

    • USA
    • Chemicals/Pharma,
    • Construction,

    25 juin 2019

    Despite solid fundamentals, underpinned by persistently strong household and business confidence, clouds are developing over the U.S. economy.

    Brazil: businesses face challenging economic times

    Baromètre des Pratiques de Paiement

    • Brazil
    • Agriculture,
    • Consumer Durables,

    25 juin 2019

    The Brazilian economy is going through a significantly challenging phase, which is severely affecting business and consumer sentiment.

    USMCA: trade credit risk worries businesses

    Baromètre des Pratiques de Paiement

    • Canada,
    • Mexico,
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Construction,

    25 juin 2019

    Trade credit risk worries businesses more than trade wars.

    Canada: is the economic outlook really less gloomy?

    Baromètre des Pratiques de Paiement

    • Canada
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Consumer Durables,

    25 juin 2019

    The Canadian economy continues to operate near its potential and the composition of growth is more balanced.

    Market Monitor TIC USA 2019

    Market Monitor

    • USA
    • Electronics/ICT

    18 juin 2019

    En dépit des taux de croissance élevés dans de nombreux segments TIC, la forte concurrence continue d’entraîner des stratégies de réduction des prix et une compression des marges.

    Market Monitor ICT China 2019

    Market Monitor

    • China
    • Electronics/ICT

    18 juin 2019

    A major increase in insolvencies is not expected for the time being, but cannot be ruled out should the trade dispute with the US further escalate.

    Market Monitor TIC Royaume-Uni 2019

    Market Monitor

    • United Kingdom
    • Electronics/ICT

    18 juin 2019

    Le secteur résiste à la tendance générale des faillites, étant donné que le nombre de faillites d’entreprises britanniques devrait augmenter de 7% en 2019 après une hausse de 10% en 2019.

    Market Monitor ICT Germany 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Germany
    • Electronics/ICT

    18 juin 2019

    Despite further sales growth most businesses continue to operate on very tight margins due to fierce competition, while equity strength is below average.

    Market Monitor ICT Japan 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Japan
    • Electronics/ICT

    18 juin 2019

    An economic slowdown in China triggered by the Sino-US trade dispute would surely lead to lower demand for ICT exports to China and to other parts of Asia.

    Market Monitor TIC France 2019

    Market Monitor

    • France
    • Electronics/ICT

    18 juin 2019

    Alors que le marché français des TIC s’est de plus en plus tourné vers les services au cours des deux dernières années, le segment des logiciels informatiques demeure le moteur de la croissance.

    Market Monitor ICT Italy 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Italy
    • Electronics/ICT

    18 juin 2019

    The Italian ICT wholesalers and retail segment is negatively impacted by stiff competition, high pressure on margins and liquidity management issues.

    Market Monitor TIC Inde 2019

    Market Monitor

    • India
    • Electronics/ICT

    18 juin 2019

    Le secteur continue de se caractériser par une forte concurrence et des importations à bas prix, ce qui entraîne des pressions sur les prix, en particulier pour les petits revendeurs et distributeurs.

    Market Monitor TIC Taïwan 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Taiwan
    • Electronics/ICT

    18 juin 2019

    L’escalade du différend commercial sino-américain, en particulier les restrictions imposées par les USA sur les fournisseurs de Huawei, affectera sûrement certaines entreprises taïwanaises du secteur.

    Market Monitor TIC Espagne 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Spain
    • Electronics/ICT

    18 juin 2019

    Les marges de nombreuses entreprises du secteur demeurent stables mais serrées, en particulier dans le sous-secteur du commerce de gros et de détail des TIC.

    Market Monitor TIC Pays-Bas 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Netherlands
    • Electronics/ICT

    18 juin 2019

    Conformément à la bonne tenue de l’économie, la valeur ajoutée des TIC a augmenté de 3,6% en 2018 et devrait progresser de 3% environ en 2019, en dépit du ralentissement économique prévu.

    Market Monitor TIC Australie 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Australia
    • Electronics/ICT

    18 juin 2019

    L’expérience des paiements au cours des 2 dernières années a été satisfaisante jusqu’à ce jour et le niveau des paiements prolongés et des faillites demeure faible comparativement à d’autres secteurs.

    Market Monitor TIC Emirats Arabes Unis 2019

    Market Monitor

    • United Arab Emirates
    • Electronics/ICT

    18 juin 2019

    Au second semestre de 2019, les faillites devraient se stabiliser à un niveau élevé, tandis que les délais de paiement devraient encore augmenter.

    Trade war risks grinding global trade growth to a halt

    Etude économique

    • China,
    • USA
    • General economic

    11 juin 2019

    World trade growth stagnated in Q1 amid the escalating trade war. While we expect some recovery in 2019, further escalation of the trade war could grind growth to a halt.

    Carte des risques pays - Q1 2019

    Etude économique

    • Algeria,
    • Argentina,
    • General economic

    07 juin 2019

    Détectez les opportunités commerciales dans le monde pour développer votre activité.

    European elections 2019

    Etude économique

    • Austria,
    • Belgium,
    • General economic

    29 mai 2019

    European pro-trade policy likely to stay in place after the European elections

    Country report Austria 2019

    Rapport pays

    • Austria
    • General economic

    28 mai 2019

    In 2019 Austrian economic growth is expected to decelerate after a robust performance in 2018, mainly due to weaker external demand and lower investment.

    Country report Switzerland 2019

    Rapport pays

    • Switzerland
    • General economic

    28 mai 2019

    Swiss economic growth is expected to slow down in 2019, as external demand from the Eurozone and the US has weakened and investment growth decreases.

    Country report Denmark 2019

    Rapport pays

    • Denmark
    • General economic

    28 mai 2019

    The Danish economy has regained some of its international competitiveness due to structural reforms that addressed the issue of high labour costs.

    Country report Sweden 2019

    Rapport pays

    • Sweden
    • General economic

    28 mai 2019

    A potential downside risk to the economic performance could be the high household debt in case of sharp house price decreases and interest rate increases.

    Country report Belgium 2019

    Rapport pays

    • Belgium
    • General economic

    28 mai 2019

    In 2019 the number of Belgian business insolvencies will still be higher than the levels seen before the start of the global credit crisis in 2008.

    Country report Ireland 2019

    Rapport pays

    • Ireland
    • General economic

    28 mai 2019

    The Irish economy is expected to grow by about 2.5% in 2019, but remains exposed to ongoing economic uncertainties stemming from the Brexit decision.

    Country report Spain 2019

    Rapport pays

    • Spain
    • General economic

    28 mai 2019

    Household consumption is sustained by rising employment, higher wages and low interest rates, while lower financing costs support business investments.

    Country report The Netherlands 2019

    Rapport pays

    • Netherlands
    • General economic

    28 mai 2019

    In 2019 Dutch export performance is impacted by lower demand from France and Germany, the ongoing Brexit issue and increased global trade uncertainty.

    Country report Italy 2019

    Rapport pays

    • Italy
    • General economic

    28 mai 2019

    Due to economic stagnation, political uncertainty and tighter credit conditions business insolvencies are forecast to increase by more than 5% in 2019.

    Country report United Kingdom 2019

    Rapport pays

    • United Kingdom
    • General economic

    28 mai 2019

    British business insolvencies are expected to increase by more than 5% in 2019, mainly affecting businesses active in the construction and retail sectors.

    Country report France 2019

    Rapport pays

    • France
    • General economic

    28 mai 2019

    With more than 55,000 business failures expected in 2019, the number of insolvencies will still be as high as during the start of the 2008 credit crisis.

    Country report Germany 2019

    Rapport pays

    • Germany
    • General economic

    28 mai 2019

    After several years of annual decreases, German business insolvencies are expected to increase again in 2019 as the economic expansion slows down.

    DSO in Singapore expected to worsen

    Baromètre des Pratiques de Paiement

    • Singapore
    • Chemicals/Pharma,
    • Construction,

    20 mai 2019

    Businesses in Singapore expect DSO to deteriorate over the coming months. Read the complete overview of corporate payment practices by sector.

    Taiwan: Payment default risks put pressure on business

    Baromètre des Pratiques de Paiement

    • Taiwan
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    20 mai 2019

    Taiwanese businesses are the least inclined in the Asia Pacific to sell on credit. Get your copy of the latest payment practices barometer and find out why.

    How will Japan avoid disruptive loss in export markets

    Baromètre des Pratiques de Paiement

    • Japan
    • Agriculture,
    • Consumer Durables,

    20 mai 2019

    Businesses in Japan are focused more on strengthening receivables' collection activities than having a more strategic approach to credit management.

    China: Increase in trade credit risk on the horizon?

    Baromètre des Pratiques de Paiement

    • China
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Consumer Durables,

    20 mai 2019

    Survey respondents in China expect trade credit risk to increase over the coming months. Find out more about their business challenges going forward.

    Internal demand & export growth drive B2B sales

    Baromètre des Pratiques de Paiement

    • India
    • Agriculture,
    • Consumer Durables,

    20 mai 2019

    Internal demand & export growth work in favor of Indian B2B credit sales, but future trends of B2B payment practices affecting business confidence in India.

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